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7 November 2002
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Strength in Assessment


The Sultanate’s real estate market has remained relatively insulated from the global financial crisis, with the current price trends suggesting a period of stability

Oman’s real estate market was able to sail through the economic downturn relatively unscathed, a fact many attribute to opening up to foreign ownership in 2005 for GCC citizens and in 2006 for the rest of the world, and then only in designated areas known as Integrated Tourism Complexes (ITCs). This spared the Omani property market from the levels of property speculation which led to market volatility elsewhere in the region.

Like any generalisation though, this is too simplistic. The strengths of Oman’s real estate market are many, and stem from both proactive government oversight and the nature of the Omani market – as well as the kind of investors it attracts. And, there are weaknesses too, making Oman more vulnerable in some respects than it need be to future swings in the global financial markets.

Chief among these is the fact that there is little reliable information available about the real estate market. This is a problem not just in the Sultanate, but the wider region too. In the absence of regulation and publicly reported statistics that govern the real estate market in most western markets, it is difficult to assess how the Omani property market is faring today and how resilient it will be in the future. With this in mind, OBG has talked to a wide range of sources in the industry, from government ministers to the top real estate firms in the country. What we’ve learned would fill small volumes, but for OER’s readers we’ve done our best to distill the state of the market into a convenient who, what, where and why.

Who is investing: Oman has never been a big market for speculators, and that’s still the case. The majority of Oman’s properties are sold to end users or those who buy to rent. In keeping with the Sultanate’s reputation as a conservative, family-focused country, Oman is an ownership society: 85.5 per cent of citizens own their house, according to the Ministry of National Economy. As previously mentioned, foreigners have only been able to buy property in ITCs. The most well-known of these is The Wave, located near Seeb International Airport, which will account for 50 per cent of the freehold product available in the

Muscat area through 2013.

What is available: Pretty much everything. A variety of projects commissioned in 2006-2007 are reaching completion, meaning there are villas, apartments, retail and office space on the market. Due to falling prices for a number of construction materials in 2009-2010, the most recent projects are often able to undercut the prices of products which came to the market in 2008-2009. Two to three bedroom apartments are the most in demand, according to a number of realtors.

The biggest gap in the market at the moment is affordable housing – a problem often faced by countries with fast-growing populations and a GCC-wide trend. In Muscat in particular, development has produced a number of high-end properties and fewer large housing projects. One reason housing has remained focused on the higher-end is the height cap on buildings, which has historically stood at five floors. Recently, the government designated a number of areas in the capital where apartment and office complexes of up to twelve stories will be permitted, a move which should lead to a better supply of affordable housing.

Where to invest: New developments in up and coming neighbourhoods. This counts in both Muscat and the wider country in general. In the capital, the prime neighbourhoods of Qurum and Madinat as Sultan Qaboos are fully developed and demand some of the highest rents in the country. Yet, Muscat is a dynamic city, and developments in the west in particular show tremendous promise. Seeb, which lies west of the airport, currently houses Sultan Qaboos University, the premier university in the country, and a handful of developments, and the area looks set to take off. In 2009, 52.5 per cent of all building permits issued by the Muscat Municipality were for plots in this area, with the remaining 47.5 per cent distributed throughout the other five districts in the capital.

Because Oman does not restrict office space to certain zones – people are allowed to work and run businesses from their homes, if they wish – a lack of office space has not been as much of an issue in Oman as it has been in other parts of the Gulf. However, a number of companies have moved, or plan to move, to purpose-built office buildings in Airport Heights, which is projected to become the next business district, housing a number of ministries and major companies. Then, of course, there is the rest of the country. The government has proven itself keen to invest in alternate population centres to avoid overcentralisation in Muscat. Improved infrastructure links, from the development of four new airports at Sohar, Duqm, Ras al Hadd, and Adam to the upcoming country-spanning railway, will cut transit time throughout the GCC’s second largest country, making far-flung cities like Salalah and Ras al Hadd all the more attractive.

One area particularly worth monitoring is Duqm. The site, which is at the early stages of development, is envisioned as the next great industrial hub for Oman and perhaps the Gulf region. At 1234 km2, Duqm will be the largest Special Economic Zone (SEZ) in the Middle East, with a focus on industry, logistics, and tourism aimed at generating employment. Depending on how the project progresses, the area could become a magnet for developers keen to diversify away from more established cities.

Why Oman: Anyone reading this magazine probably does not need to be convinced that Oman is a desirable place to live. Muscat is popularly said to be the second cleanest capital city in the world (after Singapore), and in the running for the most livable. Traffic is minimal throughout the country and an emphasis on sound urban planning has kept development in check. But of course most residents will tell you that Oman’s greatest richness lies not in its cities, but the wealth of natural beauty outside them. The Omani people, too, are justly famous for their warmth towards strangers. With the four new airports currently under development, exploration of the country’s interior will soon be easier than ever.There are, of course, limitations. Oman does not have a detailed legal framework to deal with property disputes yet. Valuing property is difficult because of a lack of standard valuation procedures. These are problems common throughout the GCC and Oman would do well to become one of the first countries to move on this front.

Several industry insiders told OBG that while the timeline for projects tends to be longer in Oman as compared to other countries in the Gulf, there is much less risk involved. The government and private sector have proven themselves genuinely committed to bringing projects through to completion. Developments are often ambitious, but also realistic. Given this track record, the real estate sector’s conservative but steady growth looks set to weather future storms with the same fundamentals that saw it through 2008-2009.

 

The author is Regional Editor, Oxford Business Group
OLIVER CORNOCK

 


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