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Shell outsells
Year 2006 marks unpredecented business growth for the company with highest ever
net profit and record sales figures
The No. 1 company couple of years ago might have to wait a little longer if it
has to regain the coveted position. Nonetheless, 2006 was a year of
unprecedented business results, delivering the company’s highest ever-net profit
after tax and record sales figures.
The strong economic factors have resulted in the demand for refined petroleum
products of the company growing significantly during 2006. The supply situation
remained tight throughout the year and, coupled with shortages of skilled
drivers for heavy goods vehicle, posed a substantial strain on logistics
resources, in some instances causing temporary shortages of refined product that
could be made available to customers.
The retail business remains the most important portfolio segment for the
company. During the year, the company opened two retail sites, whilst at
year-end a further two sites were at final stages of construction. The company
continues to leverage the success in its innovative launch of the improved fuel
economy initiative (New Shell Super with Better Mileage), extending it further
and making it available for regular petrol. This resulted in strong response
from the customer, with total volume crossing the one billion liters milestone a
few days before the year-end, making it the fist oil marketing company achieve
this mark in Oman. Despite the pressure coming from increased number of sites in
the competitors’ network, the company continued to maintain its overall
marketing edge as an industry leader with an estimated 50% market share. The
average throughput per site in 2006 increased to 8.6 million liters when
compared to 7.5 million liters in 2005. Average gross margins from the
convenience stores continued to suffer from the negative impact due to higher
operating costs in Select stores and increase in cost of FMCG supplies. The fuel
card business grew by 20% during the year following a major product launch a
year ago improving security and usage features.
The commercial business benefited from the increased economic activity, albeit
pricing and competitive terms of trade remain the key factors in this sector.
This commercial fuels segment remains the pivotal support for
business-to-business segment of the company. “Our focus to grow and sustain this
business is a key element of the business strategy in the coming years. Shell
Oman Marketing will continue to focus on the basics, and operational excellence
to sustain current profitability whilst differentiating customer value
propositions in the market to capture fair share of the available
opportunities,” said Dr Andrew Wood, Chairman, Shell Oman.
In 2006, jet fuel sales at all airfields in Oman increased by 14% and the volume
at Seeb Airport was up by 50% due to Gulf Air changing its hub from Abu Dhabi to
Muscat. Both volume and margin targets were exceeded in the aviation business.
The company retained 50% of Oman Air business. The company lost a tender
representing a significant share of its portfolio in May 2006 as a result of the
yearly tendering exercise, but was able to ensure growth coming from other parts
of the portfolio.
The year has also been a successful one for the company’s Lubricants Supply
Chain LSC division with a total volume growth of 13%. The division also produced
a record 76.1 million litre of the finished lubricants for the commercial,
retail, marine and exports businesses. The growth trend is expected to continue
in 2007, because the demand for Shell lubricants in both the local and export
markets is very strong. LSC benefited from a number of cost cutting initiatives.
These initiatives have resulted in total saving in excess of RO400,000. A plant
expansion study has been conducted in 2006, to upgrade the blending plant
capacity, which will provide for the increase in volume demand.
In early 2006, Shell Oman successfully signed off the sales and purchase
agreement of petroleum products with Oman Refinery Company, sole supplier of
petroleum products in Oman. The planned lifting of fuels from the new Sohar
Refinery Company has been delayed from July 2006 to early 2007.
The company also successfully amended its articles of association to allow for
an increase in the level of foreign shareholding to 70% from 49% previously.
This has enabled the company’s share to attract more demand from a wider segment
of investors within the region.


Outlook
The company has had an excellent performance during 2006. When compared with
2005, the share price has increased by more than 60 per cent, dividend levels
are up 20%, turnover has been up by more 23 per cent, and the safety performance
is demonstrably excellent. However, the competition is expected to remain
intense in the years to come. It will continue to execute its retain network
development plan in a robust manner. Some part of the company’s business, like
supply of international aviation fuels and export lubricants, will be subjected
to external factors in terms of the prising competitiveness available at other
international locations.
The high demand for lubricants across the region will continue to exert pressure
on the supply and availability of raw materials in the region with the resulting
impact of higher price as well as supply constraints.
The fuels market normally follows the economic trend of the country and is thus
expected to be stable, growing in tandem with the economic activities. Cards
business will remain competitive and unit margins are expected to be under
pressure. Managing credit will be an ongoing challenge, in a growing market and
expanding sales portfolios. New development of road networks and residential
areas will open up opportunities for addition of new retail sites where these
are needed and viable major infrastructure projects announced by the government
previously will see some activities starting out during 2007 and the company
would like to ensure that it is ready to handle the
stiff competition.
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Stock Analysis
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Shell Oman Marketing Co. (SOMC) reported substantially higher revenues for 2006
on the back of increased volumes. The company has witnessed a growth in three of
the four business segments – retail, B-2-B (commercial) and lubricants. We
believe SOMC is playing an ‘efficient’ volume game in the oil distribution
market with higher throughput and lower operating costs. As volume of fuel sales
increase, the profitability also increases due to the relatively stagnant
operating costs. On a conservative basis, we expect the company to post an EPS
of RO0.106 for the full year, FY06. Valuations at current levels could be
justified considering the fact that the company would maintain high dividend
payouts. – Vision
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The market leader in oil marketing sector, Shell Oman Marketing registered
impressive earnings growth of 19.6 per cent to RO8.920 million in FY 2006. The
company has been aggressive in formulating marketing strategies which has helped
it to maintain dominant position in the sector with an estimated market share of
50 per cent. The average through put per site during 2006 improved to 8.6
million litres compared to 7.5 million litres during 2005. We expect this to
remain firm during the year due to prevailing economic situation, which is
buoyant. Healthy growth and sustainable margins in commercial, aviation and
lubricants business is expected to further augment earnings growth during FY
2007. We expect the company to register an EPS of 114 baiza for FY 2007, which
translates to PE (FY07) of 13.1X. Also, the liberal dividend policy of the
company enhances shareholders value. We have a positive outlook on the company.
– GIS
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√ Back
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May -
2007 |
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Cover Story |
Oman’s Leading Listed Companies in 2006
Mukhtar Hasan analyses Oman’s
largest listed companies in 2006, based on revenues and other
financial parameters. |
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Oman as the venue of its first Oil and Gas MaXimiZe course. Sunil
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competition in Central Asia could mean that the Chinese majors may
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Opening the doors
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The Wave, Muscat
An Idyllic Island Lifestyle |
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Regulars |
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